The BPS Top 10
Statistics features heavily in every psychology course. My son has just completed the rats and stats section of the course – and he vastly preferred the rats. Some psychology researchers, like Spearman, developed their own methods and have become household names in our field. But have statisticians influenced the field of psychology? We would certinaly hope so. The British Psychological Society agrees and have recently compiled an annotated list of the 10 statisticians (who were not psychologists) who have most influenced the field of psychology.**
Here is their list with a little commentary from me. If you want to have a look at the kind of statistics that psychology students learn see HERE.
· #1: Karl Pearson (1957-1936): regression to the mean, correlation coefficient, chi-square test of independence, classification of distributions (and racial eugenics….)
· #2: Ronald Fisher (1890-1962); ANOVA, exact tests, permutation tests. More generally responsible for most of statistical inference theory but perhaps slipped up on the causal effects of smoking.
· #3: Jerzy Neyman (1894-1981) foundations of sampling, Hypothesis testing, confidence intervals. Psychologists love hypothesis testing. It looks so damned scientific! I guess everyone knows that Fisher and Neyman/Person had contrasting views of statistical inference.
· #4: John Tukey (1915-2000) honest significant difference (range) test after ANOVA. Even though he is famous for a test, he more generally stressed exploratory statistical techniques over confirmatory ones (hypothesis testing).
· #5: Don Rubin (1943-) Meta-analysis and effect sizes. Amongst statisticians he is more famous for missing data methods and causal models.
· #6: Bradley Efron (1938-) for bootstrap. I am not actually aware that bootstrap is heavily used in psychology. Their experiments are usually well designed
· #7: Sir David Cox (1924-) for the Box-Cox transformation. What a tiny achievement to laud when considered against the edifice of his general contributions.
· #8: Leo Goodman (1928-) for measures of association in contingency tables. His gamma statistic is a commonly used measure of rank correlation, closely related to Kendall’s tau. I do not see how Kruskal did not get an equal mention here.
· #9: John Nelder (1924-) for the Generalised Linear Model. I do not really associate him with psychology at all; more with agricultural field trials at Rothampsteadand and the likelihood principle. I reckon the BPS are struggling to make up two hand’s worth at this stage.
· #10: Robert Tibshirani for LASSO. Do psychology researchers really use this?
Did anybody notice the absence of Bayesians? I am outraged! No really. Either this is a big oversight, or psychologists do not use these modern methods.
**Hat tip to Patty Solomon for alerting me to this.
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December 14th, 2009 at 3:00 pm
David Spiegelhalter would be an appropriate Bayesian, especially considering his criticism of league tables.
December 14th, 2009 at 3:12 pm
I have not read Fisher’s papers on smoking and lung cancer, but just because a causal link is now well established it does not mean that some of his early criticisms of an assumption of causality would be wrong.
December 14th, 2009 at 3:23 pm
What about the inventors of SPSS? What about factor analysis gurus, path analysis and SEM gurus? What about Sheffe, Greenhouse/Geisser, Huynh/Feldt, Kayser/Meyer/Olkin, Thurstone, Rasch, Cohen, Cronbach and Bonferroni (of correction fame) - all household names among psychologists? What research did the listmakers do?
December 14th, 2009 at 5:24 pm
The original source publication appears to be here:
http://www.psy.jhu.edu/~yantis/pdf/Wright-PPS-2009-TEN-STATISTICIANS.pdf
December 15th, 2009 at 8:22 am
What about the inventors of SPSS!
December 15th, 2009 at 8:37 am
Dear Chris,
Fisher should also be credited with the design of experiments.
Regards,
Ken Russell
December 15th, 2009 at 12:33 pm
Ken. I agree but perhaps this is included in the ANOVA citation. It is mentioned in the article that Bruce kindly linked to. I agree with John Taffe that it is hard to see how the SEM developers are not near the top - though personally I wonder how many practitioners understand these models. I find them pretty hard to digest myself.